Will United States retail sales MoM for March 2026 be above 0.4%?
Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Will United States retail sales MoM for March 2026 be above 0.4%?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 21, 2026.
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99¢Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $119·OI $1,416·Closes Apr 21, 2026
KXUSRETAIL-26APR21-T0.4
7-day price281 snapshots · 2 regime
97¢96¢ current
Apr 810¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If United States retail sales MoM for March 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
100¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 6:53:39 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXUSRETAIL-26APR21-T0.4 yes 100