Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing November 3, 2026.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 10/12¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $934.46·OI $24,416.788·Closes Nov 3, 2026·195d remaining
0x90c810df015547545998cc0952258c102fac052861896acf6d58e17938cce0c7
7-day price56 snapshots · 11 regime
15¢11¢ current
Apr 811¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1513.3%
IY (No) 23.1%
Adj IY 619%
CRI 8
Overround 0.0%
LAS 0.18
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1513.3%
IY (No)23.1%
Adj IY619%
CRI8
Overround0.0%
LAS0.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:21 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x90c810df015547545998cc0952258c102fac052861896acf6d58e17938cce0c7 yes 100

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