Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Prediction markets currently give a 97% probability that Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?. This contract trades at 97¢ on Polymarket, closing May 12, 2026.

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97¢
Bid/Ask 97/98¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $361.27·OI $14,267.478·Closes May 12, 2026·20d remaining
0x0acb27fbd1be7f9e44b30fa571304fcedceb01b2abcd8e569e0b2df3d8a66aac
7-day price18 snapshots · 10 regime
98¢97¢ current
Apr 1096¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 56.0%
IY (No) 58537.1%
Adj IY 29269%
CRI 32
Overround 7.7%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)56.0%
IY (No)58537.1%
Adj IY29269%
CRI32
Overround7.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:16:38 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0acb27fbd1be7f9e44b30fa571304fcedceb01b2abcd8e569e0b2df3d8a66aac yes 100

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