Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.

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14¢
Bid/Ask 12/15¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $29·OI $14,546.417·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0xf84dc5dbc649f854bf4d15f3fde65649353971d90c90cd652440058dc652121c
7-day price148 snapshots · 2 regime
15¢14¢ current
Apr 812¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 13¢+1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 1247.7%Close-time delta 1863h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1897.7%
IY (No) 50.3%
Adj IY 949%
CRI 6
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1897.7%
IY (No)50.3%
Adj IY949%
CRI6

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:26:48 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xf84dc5dbc649f854bf4d15f3fde65649353971d90c90cd652440058dc652121c yes 100

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