Will William Brown be the Republican nominee for GA-11?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will William Brown be the Republican nominee for GA-11?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
3¢
Bid/Ask 1/5¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $18.5·OI $1,570.396·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0xa603a4697874685ef88b8441141964a5d29f63b6e911c18395141beb46d476ff
7-day price62 snapshots · 3 regime
14¢3¢ current
Apr 91¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 43735.8%
IY (No) 41.8%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 32
Overround -0.1%
LAS 1.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)43735.8%
IY (No)41.8%
Adj IY0%
CRI32
Overround-0.1%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:24:29 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:23:19 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa603a4697874685ef88b8441141964a5d29f63b6e911c18395141beb46d476ff yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions