Game 2: Anaheim at Edmonton Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that Game 2: Anaheim at Edmonton Winner?. This contract trades at 38¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market exhibits extreme yield metrics (3790% implied yield on Yes) driven by minimal liquidity ($162.6 open interest, $118 daily volume) and a sharp 7-day price collapse from 11¢ to 36¢, suggesting either new information favoring Edmonton or position unwinding rather than fundamental repricing.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme yield metrics (3790% implied yield on Yes) driven by minimal liquidity ($162.6 open interest, $118 daily volume) and a sharp 7-day price collapse from 11¢ to 36¢, suggesting either new information favoring Edmonton or position unwinding rather than fundamental repricing. The 4¢ spread and neutral regime mask concerning cliff risk (index of 2) with realized volatility at 420%, indicating this thin market could experience outsized moves on modest order flow. With 17 days to expiry and only 1.5 information arrivals per hour, the astronomical yields likely reflect illiquidity premium rather than true edge, making this unsuitable for serious capital allocation.
Resolution rules
If ANA Ducks wins the Game 2: Anaheim at Edmonton professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR22ANAEDM-ANA yes 100