Game 3: Dallas at Minnesota Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Game 3: Dallas at Minnesota Winner?. This contract trades at 55¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market shows extreme yield metrics (1833.9% for Yes, 2332% for No) driven by minimal liquidity of just $309.54 open interest and a tight 6¢ spread, creating outsized percentage returns on small dollar movements rather than genuine pricing inefficiency.
Analysis
This market shows extreme yield metrics (1833.9% for Yes, 2332% for No) driven by minimal liquidity of just $309.54 open interest and a tight 6¢ spread, creating outsized percentage returns on small dollar movements rather than genuine pricing inefficiency. The sharp 12¢ price rise over seven days (41¢ to 53¢) combined with elevated realized volatility of 1716% and a vol ratio of 3.38 suggests recent information arrival (3.9/h) is driving directional momentum, though with 18 days to expiry and low volume ($256.57 in 24h), the market remains illiquid and susceptible to slippage on larger orders.
Resolution rules
If MIN Wild wins the Game 3: Dallas at Minnesota professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR22DALMIN-MIN yes 100