Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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13¢
Bid/Ask 12/13¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,066.772·OI $16,662.489·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0xf12389950d7fdcdfc4892aa4b81b7ef8f16aaabefc82d62f4a7d3180feed7117
7-day price312 snapshots · 3 regime
34¢13¢ current
Apr 812¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 13¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95IY 1247.7%Close-time delta 4047h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8996.7%
IY (No) 200.9%
Adj IY 4498%
CRI 7
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)8996.7%
IY (No)200.9%
Adj IY4498%
CRI7
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:23 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xf12389950d7fdcdfc4892aa4b81b7ef8f16aaabefc82d62f4a7d3180feed7117 yes 100

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