Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.
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20¢
Bid/Ask 18/21¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $3,101.03·OI $29,661.243·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.