Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing March 31, 2027. The Jaguars championship contract is trading at an extreme discount of 3¢, implying just a 3% probability of winning Super Bowl LXI, which generates an exceptional 3,384.7% implied yield for YES holders despite 349 days of time value remaining.
Analysis
The Jaguars championship contract is trading at an extreme discount of 3¢, implying just a 3% probability of winning Super Bowl LXI, which generates an exceptional 3,384.7% implied yield for YES holders despite 349 days of time value remaining. The market shows healthy liquidity with $163.8k open interest and $2.5k in 24-hour volume, though the zero spread and elevated Cliff Risk Index of 32 suggest some structural tension between the low price and potential tail-event payoff. This represents a classic long-shot bet where the risk-adjusted yield of 1,692% reflects both the low base probability and substantial time premium available to contrarian bettors.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0xdd6df6bc49de64cf38b2059cea20d00b86ef0c01b4c146e8930471d20f599cef yes 100