Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 3/6¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $5·OI $17,462.55·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0xb43631c39df7b503d0982233abd43841510994af7104e9c9387ebf2219251084
7-day price30 snapshots · 1 regime
8¢5¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 25542.3%
IY (No) 70.8%
Adj IY 12771%
CRI 19
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)25542.3%
IY (No)70.8%
Adj IY12771%
CRI19
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:21 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb43631c39df7b503d0982233abd43841510994af7104e9c9387ebf2219251084 yes 100

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