Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
6¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $53.158·OI $52,780.485·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x41321cf6f7de3f4cd158b99b3c3f51b0e1c807f5c3a7ab9d0140c24fbdf54b38
7-day price3 snapshots · 3 regime
8¢6¢ current
Apr 126¢Apr 18

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8269.3%
IY (No) 33.7%
Adj IY 4135%
CRI 16
Overround 5.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)8269.3%
IY (No)33.7%
Adj IY4135%
CRI16
Overround5.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:42 PM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x41321cf6f7de3f4cd158b99b3c3f51b0e1c807f5c3a7ab9d0140c24fbdf54b38 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions