When will Olipop IPO?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that When will Olipop IPO?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing June 1, 2027. This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $277 open interest and $62 in daily volume, making the 23-cent price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.

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23¢
Bid/Ask 19/23¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $277·Closes Jun 1, 2027·405d remaining
KXIPOOLIPOP-27JUN01

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $277 open interest and $62 in daily volume, making the 23-cent price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The asymmetric implied yields—379% for Yes versus 21% for No—suggest either significant mispricing or that traders are pricing in a genuine low-probability event, though the neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action indicate no recent catalyst has shifted sentiment. With 410 days to expiry and a 4-cent spread representing 17% of the current price, this market lacks the depth needed for confident analysis of Olipop's actual IPO likelihood.

Resolution rules

If Olipop confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 383.9%
IY (No) 21.1%
Adj IY 192%
CRI 4
Overround 0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)383.9%
IY (No)21.1%
Adj IY192%
CRI4
Overround0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:11:23 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXIPOOLIPOP-27JUN01 yes 100

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