SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202628 days left

When will SpaceX IPO?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$1.1M volume
$590K liquidity
4709% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$24K

Best sibling

Before Jul 1, 2026 78¢

Ticker

KXIPOSPACEX-26JUN01

Price history

11¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢860
9¢1.7K
8¢10K
7¢127
6¢30K
AskSize
11¢15K
12¢24K
13¢21K
14¢16
16¢15

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXIPOSPACEX-26JUN01

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11550.2%

IY (No)

142.6%

Adj IY

10395%

CRI

9

RV

501%

VR

0.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

11550.2%
142.6%
Adj IY
10395%
9
RV
501%
VR
0.45
IAR
0.2/h
Overround
10.0%
LAS
0.10

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