Eli Lilly · Which companies will the US take a stake in
Eli Lilly is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside Which companies will the US take a stake in?.
Price history
11¢ current
−23¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Eli Lilly
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Rigetti 77¢
Range
11¢-77¢
Family volume
$96K
Identifier
0xe5ea729b...abcb
Jun 7, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$40
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$96K
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xe5ea729b…abcb
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 9¢, +2¢ versus this page.
Event family
Which companies will the US take a stake in.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$96K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Rigetti 77¢
Current share
0%
Rigetti
polymarket · 0xf179f57bcd9d754aee6245c7816d523f3dabcd476e6f26c4b9f6cd8108e72a9f
D-Wave
polymarket · 0xb8aa75c192ef213dd9c9c3762feacfd84d6f331f0b8893c45c8fb5ec6f1ebf59
Anduril
polymarket · 0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38
IonQ
polymarket · 0x3e318837fa58267e33e8af09dea56455c74ccb948627cfd0ae3bb6e69fa54788
OpenAI
polymarket · 0x1166beee8722f02d9c79f60252c6eba339e32c699414cbd363c0973d55fc261b
Palantir
polymarket · 0x1adad084557cf5ab0fc502e9ea0a44964a8c88e90d72953bd22417f49a5341a5
GlobalFoundries
polymarket · 0x29de69eea09afcb0cde8301eca3e6fcabf826dcb8a8dafacc0d20f3404a735ff
Anthropic
polymarket · 0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1
Freeport-McMoRan
polymarket · 0xfafdaf9f3f99130049785151e16e60f11bbd890359e0dcf6f6f9fab85dfc6a0a
Boeing
polymarket · 0x6e2c5a9e54e6eead88dca03bd6de7a357c154856724b9d4a27d8dc9a2628d27c
Micron
polymarket · 0xec8dc021aeb7c770c0f551da37b9f1aee4e7b97834ab12f51b524ed269c8487a
TSMC
polymarket · 0xf0cfdff5567f3b71dca486d4be95501fc515e402f0c6e098a118c9d52f931d00
Lockheed Martin
polymarket · 0x063bcc769a02477cbaa9bafd576934fb9dddced3bb671b0b7bbf8f691d627969
Samsung Electronics
polymarket · 0xbabf4d97e342229baf65bfb0d7127c09a5bec0d76a7beb49bc47b1d9cf5c4091
Nvidia
polymarket · 0xf86df821bd41f20c0b67674bfc03a7db9408bc336103ffdf9675cb8e313797f1
Eli Lilly
polymarket · 0xe5ea729b91b19f0930ecd4b892ad33a571e5f739355c09334bdb31f322a7abcb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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