Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?
0x5618557a1668b4310307a350ec1e66ec8207ed13356595dcc0151ee80a01473c · 76 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 1072.6% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 216.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 0.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 3523% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 14.15 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 6.7/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 1073% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
331 indicator snapshots · 18 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve removes the listed map from the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the removal lasts continuously for at least 48 hours. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Temporary or testing removals reversed within 48 hours do not count. The "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in CS2, used for competitive matchmaking (Premier mode) and professional tournaments. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x5618557a1668b4310307a350ec1e66ec8207ed13356595dcc0151ee80a01473c yes 100