Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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33¢
Bid/Ask 25/40¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $49.8·OI $526.584·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xd50e26edc4c7d5d2bfa9edcbeec411d65b174be95cfde2455aa86731a2c4d036
7-day price1121 snapshots · 2 regime
52¢34¢ current
Apr 817¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 25¢+8¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95IY 431.3%Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 279.9%
IY (No) 74.3%
Adj IY 140%
CRI 2
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)279.9%
IY (No)74.3%
Adj IY140%
CRI2
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
15¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:20 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xd50e26edc4c7d5d2bfa9edcbeec411d65b174be95cfde2455aa86731a2c4d036 yes 100

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