Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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12¢
Bid/Ask 4/20¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $0·OI $170.127·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x722ccfa8a0ad628b783b7526c661dd7dc5f916b58ba7d17b49adb8c7b05291f3
7-day price404 snapshots · 2 regime
38¢12¢ current
Apr 89¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1057.3%
IY (No) 19.7%
Adj IY 529%
CRI 7
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1057.3%
IY (No)19.7%
Adj IY529%
CRI7
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
16¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:56 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x722ccfa8a0ad628b783b7526c661dd7dc5f916b58ba7d17b49adb8c7b05291f3 yes 100

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