Discord · Who will IPO
Discord is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Who will IPO.
Price history
56¢ current
Contract brief
If Discord confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Discord
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
SpaceX 96¢
Range
4¢-96¢
Family volume
$31K
Identifier
KXIPO-26-DISCORD
May 21, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$114
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will IPO
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$31K
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 61¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Discord confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXIPO-26-DISCORD
Event family
Who will IPO.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$31K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
SpaceX 96¢
Current share
0%
SpaceX
kalshi · KXIPO-26-SPACEX
Jersey Mike's
kalshi · KXIPO-26-JERS
OpenAI
kalshi · KXIPO-26-OPENAI
Anthropic
kalshi · KXIPO-26-ANTHROPIC
Discord
kalshi · KXIPO-26-DISCORD
Kraken
kalshi · KXIPO-26-KRAKEN
Plaid
kalshi · KXIPO-26-PLAID
Databricks
kalshi · KXIPO-26-DATABRICKS
Skims
kalshi · KXIPO-26-SKIMS
Beast Industries
kalshi · KXIPO-26-BEAS
Applied Intuition
kalshi · KXIPO-26-AINTUITION
Anduril
kalshi · KXIPO-26-ANDURIL
Anysphere (Cursor)
kalshi · KXIPO-26-ANYSPHERE
Mistral AI
kalshi · KXIPO-26-MISTRAL
Glean
kalshi · KXIPO-26-GLEAN
xAI
kalshi · KXIPO-26-XAI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.