SimpleFunctions

Beast Industries · Who will IPO

Beast Industries is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Who will IPO.

Price history

11¢ current

2¢
10¢15¢
Jun 2, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Beast Industries confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Beast Industries

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

Anthropic 84¢

Range

2¢-84¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXIPO-26-BEAS

Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

13¢

Spread

24h volume

$89

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will IPO

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 13¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
11¢1.2K
10¢7
9¢6
8¢206
7¢6
AskSize
13¢241
14¢1.0K
15¢3
16¢223
17¢108

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Beast Industries confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXIPO-26-BEAS

SF Signal
SF Index
635.89
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1554.4%

IY (No)

23.7%

Adj IY

636%

CRI

8

Overround

4.0%

LAS

0.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1554.4%
23.7%
Adj IY
636%
8
Overround
4.0%
LAS
0.18

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.