Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

This Fetterman nomination contract shows extremely thin liquidity with only $17.61 in 24-hour volume and $2,006 open interest, making the 27¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 175.3% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high relative to the 625-day timeframe, suggesting either significant underpricing or substantial tail risk that the market is underweighting. The slight downward drift from 26¢ to 25¢ over seven days combined with the wide 3¢ spread indicates low conviction among traders, and the neutral regime score suggests no clear directional momentum driving this contract.

Resolution rules

If John Fetterman announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028,, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

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