Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
0xb5395470c9b87f5ae8ffc719c1376aa89b493adf083e01cb8064e683fbaa18fc · closes Dec 31, 2026 · 259 days remaining
Price
Last
23¢
Bid
20¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
5¢
24h Volume
$10.25
Open Interest
$10,170.558
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 423.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 47.0% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 5.6% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.20 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1144% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 6.31 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 2.6/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 338% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
294 indicator snapshots · 5 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/16/2026, 4:44:44 AM
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xb5395470c9b87f5ae8ffc719c1376aa89b493adf083e01cb8064e683fbaa18fc yes 100