SimpleFunctions

Nick Fuentes · Who will Trump meet with in 2026

Nick Fuentes is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside Who will Trump meet with in 2026?.

Price history

6¢ current

6¢
0¢10¢
May 8, 2026Jun 4, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome

Nick Fuentes

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Keir Starmer 97¢

Range

3¢-97¢

Family volume

$265K

Identifier

0xb94be43d...bf15

Jun 8, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$2

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$265K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 8¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
4¢171
4¢6
4¢300
4¢50
4¢62
4¢247
4¢17
3¢50
AskSize
8¢130
8¢270
8¢10
8¢698
8¢245
8¢97
8¢30
9¢383

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xb94be43d…bf15

SF Signal
SF Index
462.71
Regime
neutral

Event family

Who will Trump meet with in 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$265K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Keir Starmer 97¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Keir Starmer

polymarket · 0x16f8fc62c90a5fd7ff053fd23b1900884e59ad677b68c01f4df7a780c4081cc5

97¢
$13K$1410.0

Giorgia Meloni

polymarket · 0x7e20c901df94dece914f2b7e4a3b01fa5784f8e55beacc56b1263527d3bb15dc

97¢
$10K$74

Ahmed al-Sharaa

polymarket · 0x6fb581b1640953e05e46d454f5e7907c5988dcade6781c8c8f812b32a47a1d45

80¢
$12K$19

Mohammed bin Salman

polymarket · 0x1d64e87444a527dc7363c4c4f9b1ba3d4096944d4e15f98ebb0c6ec065efc63b

76¢
$4K$3

Vladimir Putin

polymarket · 0xc57bc9d0d9890815aa31d498d57af5d2d6e8d5245fd5ab104dfd7aed8c7b7081

44¢
$13K$0

Aleksandr Lukashenko

polymarket · 0x9a59e167b7111dcfbd1b42b55a1105cfea20989105d1b65a267fb81419bc02a2

38¢
$12K$78

Changpeng Zhao

polymarket · 0xfad2167317be5a9fa5f7d2290494692d320a93dced3a4160119894d48e960a40

22¢
$5K$0

Pope Leo XIV

polymarket · 0x01d0f23e9b1acca5768a5ed358c9058b942d0cafac99d116540e13637311a9ea

19¢
$11K$4

MrBeast

polymarket · 0x498ffa5e6c0d68092e0881a59c7ea4cf4b940874fd697e22f6e25b843aa692ce

18¢
$9K$0

Kim Jong Un

polymarket · 0xb5395470c9b87f5ae8ffc719c1376aa89b493adf083e01cb8064e683fbaa18fc

14¢
$20K$68

Jair Bolsonaro

polymarket · 0xd791829a13a854f0dbae5206b54cd851e35a66be3e7ab07745f7ad3290e1432c

11¢
$52K$0

Nicolás Maduro

polymarket · 0xc05743834659d9b618a2a5ece270ad7e0846238178d4e0f7005b9d1deb808fb3

9¢
$8K$0

iShowSpeed

polymarket · 0xea1490ae7a5f6c3e451dc7e243a1b4121a7f8d5a1dcfd68ca04e1cfc98f1a509

8¢
$6K$0

Lai Ching-te

polymarket · 0xe9d59a33a4d94c334684fb785cacf7c200e760f2003ef76289bfb244387a5940

7¢
$8K$270.1

Nick Fuentes

polymarket · 0xb94be43d8a8a9a3f1eae80196b1de733c38bca14520e3c359e5bf91d9628bf15

6¢
$6K$20.7

Yoon Suk Yeol

polymarket · 0xe05a7b7f94ccae169cb558e3c17b24f0747dcf0f0691ae8f46b0dc495647b9b0

3¢
$77K$30.7

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2776.5%

IY (No)

11.3%

Adj IY

463%

CRI

16

Overround

4.5%

LAS

0.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2776.5%
11.3%
Adj IY
463%
16
Overround
4.5%
LAS
0.67

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.