Will Buffalo Sabres cover -1.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 56% probability that Will Buffalo Sabres cover -1.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 56¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $64 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 10¢ spread and inflated yield metrics (1,650.7% on Yes) that don't reflect realistic returns given the binary nature of the outcome.

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56¢
Bid/Ask 55/56¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $519.66·OI $1,429.47·Closes May 17, 2026·26d remaining
KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26BOSBUFR1-BUF2
7-day price16 snapshots · 19 regime
59¢55¢ current
Apr 1610¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $64 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 10¢ spread and inflated yield metrics (1,650.7% on Yes) that don't reflect realistic returns given the binary nature of the outcome. The 53¢ price implies Buffalo has a slight edge to win the series by 2+ games, though with 31 days to expiry and minimal trading activity, this pricing may not reflect current playoff odds from major sportsbooks. The modest 2¢ upward price movement over seven days and neutral regime score suggest the market lacks conviction, making it vulnerable to sharp movement once actual playoff matchups and betting markets clarify the Sabres-Bruins series dynamics.

Resolution rules

If Buffalo Sabres wins by more than 1.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1160.0%
IY (No) 1732.9%
Adj IY 1733%
CRI 1
RV 2894%
VR 4.19
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1160.0%
IY (No)1732.9%
Adj IY1733%
CRI1
RV2894%
VR4.19
IAR0.5/h
Overround0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:22:47 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26BOSBUFR1-BUF2 yes 100

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