Will Buffalo Sabres cover -2.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 41% probability that Will Buffalo Sabres cover -2.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 41¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 8786.6% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true probability.

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41¢mid
Bid/Ask 38/43¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 17, 2026·26d remaining
KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26BOSBUFR1-BUF3
7-day price15 snapshots · 4 regime
38¢38¢ current
Apr 163¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 8786.6% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true probability. The 87¢ spread is exceptionally wide, reflecting minimal trading activity and high uncertainty about fair value. With 30 days to expiry and a high Cliff Risk Index of 7, this contract carries significant execution risk—the market may remain illiquid until resolution or see sharp repricing once the playoff matchup is confirmed and trading activity increases.

Resolution rules

If Buffalo Sabres wins by more than 2.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2313.3%
IY (No) 869.0%
Adj IY 1157%
CRI 2
Overround 0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2313.3%
IY (No)869.0%
Adj IY1157%
CRI2
Overround0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:22:42 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26BOSBUFR1-BUF3 yes 100

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