Will Chet Holmgren be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 2nd Team?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Chet Holmgren be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 2nd Team?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $50 open interest, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $50 open interest, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical 5630% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the microscopic position size rather than genuine expected value, and the wide 7¢ spread indicates difficulty finding counterparties. With 75 days to resolution and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 12, this market lacks sufficient depth for confident analysis of Holmgren's actual All-Defensive 2nd Team odds.
Resolution rules
If Chet Holmgren is selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball All-Defensive 2nd Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBA2NDTEAMDEF-26-CHOL yes 100