SimpleFunctions
1 source contract·Kalshi 1·refreshed just now·Closes Feb 28, 2028 · 617d

Will Sonny Styles be the 2nd Linebacker drafted

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 16% across 1 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

16%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

16%

1 contract

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$7

1 contracts

Closes

Feb 28, 2028

617 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 16% (10 days, 10 points)Aggregate: 16% on 2026-06-16
Aggregate of 1 contract · 10d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year

1 contract$7

Analysis

This contract asks whether Sonny Styles will be selected as the second linebacker taken in the 2026 NFL Draft. At 24%, the market suggests roughly a one-in-four chance he receives this specific honor. The probability reflects uncertainty around both his draft position and competition from other linebacker prospects. Key factors driving this assessment include Styles' current performance metrics, how other defensive prospects are evaluated leading into the draft, and any injuries or standout performances that could shift teams' draft priorities. The resolution will be determined once the NFL Draft concludes and the second linebacker is officially selected, likely in late April 2026.

  • Sonny Styles' performance trajectory and physical measurements relative to other linebacker prospects evaluating for the draft
  • Draft capital allocation and team needs at linebacker—whether multiple teams prioritize the position early enough to affect second linebacker selection order
  • Performance of competing linebacker prospects at NFL Combine drills and bowl games before the draft
  • Mock draft consensus patterns from major scouting services tracking how the second linebacker slot typically fills
  • Any injuries or off-field developments affecting Styles' draft grade or the evaluation of competing linebacker candidates

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Lateral coverage

Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.

This page aggregates 1 contract (16% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: just now.