Will Sonny Styles be the 2nd Linebacker drafted
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 11% across 1 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
11%
1 contract
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$785
1 contracts
Closes
Feb 28, 2028
567 days
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year
Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Sonny Styles
KXNFLDROTY-27-SSTY
Analysis
This probability represents the likelihood that Sonny Styles will be selected as the second linebacker taken in the upcoming NFL Draft. The 12% market price reflects considerable skepticism about Styles achieving a high-enough draft ranking to be the second linebacker off the board. This metric depends primarily on how scouts and teams evaluate Styles relative to other linebacker prospects in the class, and whether teams prioritize the position early enough that he lands in that specific slot. The NFL Draft itself will resolve this question definitively. Between now and then, combine performance metrics, pre-draft interviews, team needs based on free agency moves, and mock draft consensus will all influence expectations. The market would likely adjust upward if Styles receives strong evaluations from major scouting services or if top teams signal interest, and downward if other linebackers gain ground in prospect rankings.
- ›Current consensus linebacker rankings and how many prospects are rated ahead of Styles at the position
- ›Historical draft patterns showing how many linebackers typically get selected in each draft round and team demand for the position
- ›Styles' performance metrics (speed, instincts, tackling ability) relative to other top linebacker prospects in the class
- ›Team needs and cap situations of franchises projected to pick early, particularly those lacking at linebacker
- ›Changes to Styles' ranking in major scouting services or mock drafts between now and the draft
What moved the line
- Aug 6Sonny Styles↓8pp21→13¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 4Sonny Styles↑7pp11→18¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 5Sonny Styles↑3pp18→21¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (11% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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