Will Dan Burn be in the England World Cup final squad?
Prediction markets currently give a 67% probability that Will Dan Burn be in the England World Cup final squad?. This contract trades at 67¢ on Kalshi, closing June 18, 2026. The 67¢ price reflects moderate confidence in Burn's selection, but the market shows severe illiquidity with only $1.45 in 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread against just $9.57 open interest.
Analysis
The 67¢ price reflects moderate confidence in Burn's selection, but the market shows severe illiquidity with only $1.45 in 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread against just $9.57 open interest. The asymmetric implied yields (403.8% for Yes vs. 908.6% for No) suggest the No side is dramatically underpriced relative to the Yes position, indicating potential mispricing or that traders are heavily skewed toward the affirmative outcome. With 60 days to the June 2026 close and a low Cliff Risk Index of 2, this market has time for price discovery but lacks the depth to efficiently correct imbalances.
Resolution rules
If Dan Burn is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-DBUR yes 100