Will Department of Transportation (USDOT) announce a final rule redesignating Georgia from the Eastern time zone to the Atlantic time zone (or any other time zone which has the effect of permanent DST) before Jan 1, 2028?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Department of Transportation (USDOT) announce a final rule redesignating Georgia from the Eastern time zone to t.... This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2028. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,210 in open interest, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,210 in open interest, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 591% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the low price and thin market depth, while the sharp 7-day decline from 15¢ to 9¢ suggests recent skepticism about Georgia's time zone redesignation occurring within the 624-day window. The 6¢ bid-ask spread represents 43% of the current price, indicating significant uncertainty and difficulty executing trades at quoted levels.
Resolution rules
If the Department of Transportation (USDOT) announces a final rule redesignating Georgia from the Eastern time zone to the Atlantic time zone (or any other time zone which has the effect of permanent DST) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGADST-26MAR-28JAN01 yes 100