SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 11, 202639 days left

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on revoking, terminating, or rescinding the suspension of entry for nationals of Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, or Senegal before the World Cup?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$4K volume
$2K liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$185.6M

Best sibling

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April 0¢

Ticker

KXFIFATRAVEL-26JUN11

Price history

16¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 16¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
11¢5
10¢10
9¢500
2¢756
2¢35
AskSize
16¢199
17¢500
27¢25
33¢25
34¢73

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action revoking, terminating, or rescinding the suspension of entry for nationals of Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, or Senegal before the World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 11, 2026

Identifier

KXFIFATRAVEL-26JUN11

Event family

Iran / Hormuz crisis.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$185.6M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

June 30 37¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Yes

kalshi · KXFIFATRAVEL-26JUN11

11¢$6$60.5

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April

polymarket · 0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669

0¢$35.9M$370K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30

polymarket · 0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f

6¢$35.9M$258K0.2

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Iran

polymarket · 0x84edef36bded182da6a395ac6c785dba8f3e09b6c5ad041385b2042536cbef25

0¢$22.3M$53K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027

polymarket · 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846

30¢$19.8M$198K0.0

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027

polymarket · 0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b

19¢$16.4M$62K0.1

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31

polymarket · 0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2

3¢$13.9M$1.2M0.0

May 31

polymarket · 0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089

19¢$10.4M$336K0.1

May 31

polymarket · 0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55

10¢$8.2M$434K0.1

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May

polymarket · 0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c

20¢$5.1M$373K0.1

May 31

polymarket · 0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1

8¢$4.3M$119K0.1

June 30

polymarket · 0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887

3¢$3.7M$63K0.0

June 30

polymarket · 0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7

37¢$3.6M$163K0.0

December 31

polymarket · 0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607

34¢$2.1M$31K0.0

May 15

polymarket · 0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7

6¢$2.1M$246K0.2

June 30

polymarket · 0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e

12¢$2.0M$34K0.1

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7659.5%
117.0%
Adj IY
2089%
8
LAS
0.45

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