Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?. This contract trades at 83¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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83¢
Bid/Ask 82/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $3,305.287·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
0x8b60ec75a1c0fab1b567fc70bb4c9dd2dbbd0ba3c5aa53532ebbdaf1568e89df
7-day price79 snapshots · 3 regime
83¢83¢ current
Apr 864¢Apr 18

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 29.4%
IY (No) 701.2%
Adj IY 351%
CRI 5
Overround 0.7%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)29.4%
IY (No)701.2%
Adj IY351%
CRI5
Overround0.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:16:37 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8b60ec75a1c0fab1b567fc70bb4c9dd2dbbd0ba3c5aa53532ebbdaf1568e89df yes 100

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