Will Iceman have at least 700,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Iceman?
Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will Iceman have at least 700,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immedi.... This contract trades at 18¢ on Kalshi, closing December 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 4682.9% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 4682.9% implied yield on the Yes side. The 16¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price floor, suggesting significant uncertainty among the few market participants willing to trade. With 252 days until expiration and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 32, there's substantial time for Drake's "Iceman" release details to materialize, but the complete absence of trading activity indicates this contract has failed to attract meaningful market interest.
Resolution rules
If Iceman by Drake has at least 700,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Iceman, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSALES-ICE-ACT-700000 yes 100