Will Iceman have at least 750,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Iceman?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Iceman have at least 750,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immedi.... This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing December 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 4726.5% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 4726.5% implied yield on the Yes side. The 16¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price, and the 32 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or the release timing itself. With 250 days to expiry and no recent price movement, this appears to be a speculative position on Drake's "Iceman" album performance that lacks sufficient market depth to establish a credible probability estimate.
Resolution rules
If Iceman by Drake has at least 750,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Iceman, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSALES-ICE-ACT-750000 yes 100