Will John Peterson be the Republican nominee for SC-06?
Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Will John Peterson be the Republican nominee for SC-06?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price essentially meaningless—it likely reflects a placeholder rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price essentially meaningless—it likely reflects a placeholder rather than genuine market consensus. The 8¢ spread and extreme 115.3% implied yield on the Yes side suggest severe illiquidity rather than strong conviction that Peterson won't win the nomination. With 563 days until expiry and a neutral regime, this market needs meaningful order flow before any price discovery can occur.
Resolution rules
If John Peterson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 SC-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSCPRIMARY-06R26-JPET yes 100