Will Minnesota Wild cover -2.5 games in the Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Will Minnesota Wild cover -2.5 games in the Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 12,085% implied yield unreliable indicators of true probability rather than reflections of minimal trading activity.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 12,085% implied yield unreliable indicators of true probability rather than reflections of minimal trading activity. The 53¢ spread is extraordinarily wide relative to the near-zero price, and the 9/10 Cliff Risk Index suggests the market structure itself may be unstable or prone to manipulation. With 27 days to expiry and no meaningful price discovery occurring, this contract lacks sufficient liquidity to serve as a genuine probability estimate for the Wild covering a 2.5-game series margin.
Resolution rules
If Minnesota Wild wins by more than 2.5 games in the Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26MINDALR1-MIN3 yes 100