Will Notre Dame Football join the ACC before their first game of the 2027-28 College Football Season?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Notre Dame Football join the ACC before their first game of the 2027-28 College Football Season?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing September 30, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $82 open interest, making the 1648% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $82 open interest, making the 1648% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 8¢ price reflects skepticism about Notre Dame joining the ACC within 532 days, though the wide 4¢ spread and elevated Cliff Risk Index of 24 suggest uncertainty around late-stage price discovery as expiration approaches. The massive yield asymmetry (1648% Yes vs. 2.9% No) is typical of low-probability events with minimal trading activity and should be treated cautiously given the illiquidity constraints.
Resolution rules
If Notre Dame Football joins ACC before their first game of the 2027-28 College Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
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sf trade KXNDJOINCONF-27-ACC yes 100