Will the maximum temperature be 95-96° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Will the maximum temperature be 95-96° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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65¢Bid/Ask 61/66¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $5,699.52·OI $5,150.94·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXHIGHTPHX-26APR21-B95.5
7-day price91 snapshots · 16 regime
65¢59¢ current
Apr 2015¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Apr 21, 2026, is between 95-96° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 90000% |
| CRI | 2 |
| RV | 1462% |
| VR | 0.47 |
| IAR | 3.0/h |
| Overround | 0.0% |
| LAS | 0.10 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:48:06 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXHIGHTPHX-26APR21-B95.5 yes 100