Will the maximum temperature be 97-98° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that Will the maximum temperature be 97-98° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
█████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
22¢Bid/Ask 23/26¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $3,652.25·OI $2,697.71·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXHIGHTPHX-26APR21-B97.5
7-day price92 snapshots · 11 regime
27¢23¢ current
Apr 2012¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Apr 21, 2026, is between 97-98° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 83330% |
| CRI | 3 |
| RV | 4190% |
| VR | 0.56 |
| IAR | 3.0/h |
| Overround | 0.0% |
| LAS | 0.17 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:48:13 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXHIGHTPHX-26APR21-B97.5 yes 100