Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Kalshi, closing May 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 1017.5% implied yield on the Yes side.

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72¢mid
Bid/Ask 50/93¢·Spread 43¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26ANAEDMR1-5
7-day price8 snapshots · 2 regime
57¢50¢ current
Apr 1750¢Apr 21

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 1017.5% implied yield on the Yes side. The 38¢ spread is exceptionally wide for a binary contract, and with only 29 days to expiry, the market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish a credible probability estimate. The recent price movement from 50¢ to 55¢ suggests minimal trading activity rather than meaningful directional conviction, warranting caution before treating this as a genuine market signal.

Resolution rules

If above 4.5 games are played in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1339.7%
IY (No) 1339.7%
Adj IY 670%
CRI 1
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1339.7%
IY (No)1339.7%
Adj IY670%
CRI1
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
43¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:18:00 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26ANAEDMR1-5 yes 100

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