Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL pl.... This contract trades at 75¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $10.83 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 51¢ price unreliable for serious trading.

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75¢
Bid/Ask 68/75¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $91.82·Closes May 17, 2026·26d remaining
KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26LACOLR1-5
7-day price10 snapshots · 2 regime
69¢68¢ current
Apr 1750¢Apr 21

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $10.83 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 51¢ price unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical implied yields (1200.9% for Yes, 1409.3% for No) and 42¢ spread reflect the minimal liquidity rather than genuine probability divergence. With 28 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this contract faces imminent resolution risk once the playoff series begins, making it suitable only for small speculative positions.

Resolution rules

If above 4.5 games are played in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 661.8%
IY (No) 2988.6%
Adj IY 1494%
CRI 2
Overround 0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)661.8%
IY (No)2988.6%
Adj IY1494%
CRI2
Overround0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:17:52 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26LACOLR1-5 yes 100

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