Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 73% probability that Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playo.... This contract trades at 73¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 45¢ spread and astronomical 1,293.7% implied yield, suggesting the 0¢ price reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 45¢ spread and astronomical 1,293.7% implied yield, suggesting the 0¢ price reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus. The recent 7-day price movement from 2¢ to 50¢ indicates some sporadic activity, but with 28 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this contract carries substantial execution risk. The Utah Mammoth (a new franchise) facing Vegas in a first-round series is plausible for 2026, but the complete absence of liquidity makes this market unreliable for serious position-taking.
Resolution rules
If above 4.5 games are played in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26UTAVGKR1-5 yes 100