Will there be over 5.5 total games in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that Will there be over 5.5 total games in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL pl.... This contract trades at 38¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. The market is pricing a 54% probability that this first-round series extends beyond six games, implying roughly a 46% chance of a sweep or 5-game conclusion.
Analysis
The market is pricing a 54% probability that this first-round series extends beyond six games, implying roughly a 46% chance of a sweep or 5-game conclusion. The extraordinarily high implied yields (1192.5% for Yes, 1399.5% for No) reflect the minimal time value remaining with only 28 days to expiry, though the 2¢ spread and modest $150 daily volume suggest relatively thin liquidity for a binary sports outcome. The sharp 16¢ price movement over seven days (36¢ to 52¢) indicates either shifting playoff expectations or late-arriving information about team composition, though the neutral regime score suggests no extreme directional conviction.
Resolution rules
If above 5.5 games are played in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26LACOLR1-6 yes 100