SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Trump say "Autism" before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

87¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$43K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-AUTI

Price history

87¢ current

+82¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 90¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
87¢155
86¢141
85¢201
84¢100
83¢150
AskSize
90¢126
91¢25
94¢25
95¢100
96¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Autism, or a plural or possessive form of Autism, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-AUTI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

189.4%

IY (No)

8482.7%

Adj IY

8190%

CRI

7

RV

79%

VR

0.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

189.4%
8482.7%
Adj IY
8190%
7
RV
79%
VR
0.58
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
9.7%
LAS
0.03

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