SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Trump say "Predict / Prediction" before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

95¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$42K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-PRED

Price history

95¢ current

+90¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

95 / 96¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
95¢405
94¢31
93¢525
92¢700
91¢434
AskSize
96¢90
97¢100
98¢100
99¢326

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Predict / Prediction, or a plural or possessive form of Predict / Prediction, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-PRED

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

66.8%

IY (No)

24109.2%

Adj IY

12055%

CRI

19

Overround

9.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

66.8%
24109.2%
Adj IY
12055%
19
Overround
9.7%

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