What is the current probability for "Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before May 4, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 17¢ (17% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 4, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before May 4, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 100000.0% and 7852.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

KalshiMay 4, 20261 days left

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before May 4, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

17¢

$31K volume

$18K liquidity

7% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$473K

Best sibling

Barack Hussein Obama 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-WHO

Price history

17¢ current

+10¢

Apr 27, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 22¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

20¢35

16¢81

14¢50

12¢51

11¢190

AskSize

22¢137

24¢25

25¢50

31¢70

32¢14

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Who are you with / Where are you from, or a plural or possessive form of Who are you with / Where are you from, is stated by Donald Trump after April 27th at 10:00am ET and before May 4, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-WHO

Event family

Will Trump say ".

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$473K

Outcomes

Highest price

Barack Hussein Obama 99¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Who are you with / Where are you from

kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-WHO

14¢$21K$21K0.1

Barack Hussein Obama

kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26MAY04-BARA