SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will USC qualify for the College Football Playoffs?

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$4K volume
$3K liquidity
380% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$1K

Best sibling

Notre Dame 78¢

Ticker

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-USC

Market snapshot

USC in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will USC qualify for the College Football Playoffs?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26 family, this outcome ranks #10 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

USC

Family rank

#10 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

36¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Quote range

6¢-78¢

Family leader

Notre Dame 78¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-USC. Family volume: $1K.

Price history

36¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 36¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
31¢286
30¢10
29¢63
28¢139
AskSize
36¢511
38¢766
39¢998
40¢500
43¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If USC is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-USC

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

330.9%

IY (No)

73.3%

Adj IY

165%

CRI

2

Overround

9.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

330.9%
73.3%
Adj IY
165%
2
Overround
9.8%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index