SimpleFunctions

Virginia Tech · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Virginia Tech is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.

Price history

23¢ current

+11¢
10¢20¢
May 27, 2026Jun 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Virginia Tech is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Virginia Tech

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Texas Tech 59¢

Range

4¢-59¢

Family volume

$637

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-VT

Jun 27, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 27, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

22¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$637

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 22¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
8¢30
7¢13
6¢50
4¢2.1K
3¢100
AskSize
22¢25
23¢79
24¢50
25¢20
26¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Virginia Tech is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-VT

SF Signal
SF Index
1131.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2262.9%

IY (No)

17.1%

Adj IY

1131%

CRI

12

Overround

10.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

2262.9%
17.1%
Adj IY
1131%
12
Overround
10.1%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.