Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 64% probability that Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 64¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.

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64¢
Bid/Ask 60/67¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $100·OI $20,604.953·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0xa875e0b4802818c2ed51fa4a44eeb303d2a11b1df946de66c0444d80468e78b6
7-day price36 snapshots · 6 regime
75¢64¢ current
Apr 854¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 72¢-8¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 72.5%Close-time delta 1863h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 173.8%
IY (No) 549.2%
Adj IY 275%
CRI 2
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)173.8%
IY (No)549.2%
Adj IY275%
CRI2
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:44 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa875e0b4802818c2ed51fa4a44eeb303d2a11b1df946de66c0444d80468e78b6 yes 100

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