FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FC Baník Ostrava
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 51% across 1 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
51%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$13K
1 contracts
Top contract
51¢
$13K · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FC Baník Ostrava
FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FC Baník Ostrava
0xfd11e1…2784
Analysis
This 49% probability indicates a near even-odds assessment of FC Baník Ostrava winning their match against FK Dukla Praha. The market pricing reflects uncertainty typical of Czech football matchups where both teams operate at similar competitive levels. Recent form, home-field advantage, and injury status are likely anchoring the probability near the 50% midpoint. The match outcome will resolve this contract when the game concludes, eliminating all remaining uncertainty around the final result. Trading volume of $72,836 in 24 hours suggests moderate but not exceptional market interest in this specific fixture.
- ›Current league standings and recent win-loss records for both FK Dukla Praha and FC Baník Ostrava in the 2025-26 season
- ›Head-to-head historical performance between these two teams, including goals scored and defensive records in prior matchups
- ›Confirmed team news regarding key player injuries, suspensions, or roster absences as of match day
- ›Home-field advantage for whichever team is hosting, including typical win rates at their respective stadiums
- ›Recent form trajectory for both teams in their last 5-10 matches, accounting for strength of schedule
What moved the line
- May 23FC Baník Ostrava↑10pp50→60¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in legislation
- Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before May 20, 2026last 94% · 4d
- FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FK Dukla Prahalast 25% · 4d
- FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň - More Markets: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5)last 44% · 21d
- FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň - More Markets: FC Baník Ostrava (-1.5)last 50% · 21d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (51% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In legislation
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.