FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FK Dukla Praha
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 1 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
25%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$504
1 contracts
Top contract
25¢
$504 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FK Dukla Praha
FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: FK Dukla Praha
0xa37313…ad3e
Analysis
This market estimates a 26% probability that FK Dukla Praha defeats FC Baník Ostrava in their matchup. The relatively low probability suggests betting markets view Baník Ostrava as the favored team. The current odds likely reflect recent form, head-to-head records, and current league standings in the Czech First League. The match outcome will be determined once the game concludes, which is the primary event that resolves this uncertainty. Market participants typically weight factors such as recent winning streaks, home-field advantage, player injuries or suspensions, and tactical matchups when pricing probabilities for football matches.
- ›FK Dukla Praha's recent performance record compared to Baník Ostrava in the 2025-26 Czech First League season
- ›Head-to-head historical results and goal differential between these two clubs over their recent matchups
- ›Current league table positions, goal differential, and points accumulated by each team as of market pricing date
- ›Availability and injury status of key players for both sides, particularly starting strikers or defensive leaders
- ›Home-field advantage dynamics and each team's record in away matches versus home matches this season
What moved the line
- May 23FK Dukla Praha↓9pp25→16¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in legislation
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- FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň - More Markets: FC Baník Ostrava (-1.5)last 50% · 23d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (25% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In legislation
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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